The Future of Iran
The Iranian dilemma reads like a spy novel. A secretive government bent on upending the international order beings to collect the materials necessary to create a nuclear weapon. After years of sanctions and antagonism by the world community, Iran finally declares its true project, a secret underground facility. In light of this new development, it seems possible that an aggressor could attack Iran .
Furthermore, Israel is another potent threat to Iran . It has nuclear weapons that have served as a deterrent to the ambitions of other Middle Eastern nations. With another nation having nuclear weapons, Israel would lose its ability to keep in line other Middle Eastern states. It could even be the prime target of Iran , which could severely destroy Israel ’s industries and cities with a nuclear bomb. Israel does have some key interests in a non-nuclear Iran .
The Iranian dilemma has also affected the relations it has with other Middle Eastern countries. If Iran continues on its current path, it is very likely that Egypt , Jordan and Syria will begin to develop nuclear weapons to protect themselves from the Iran . This argument has religious roots in that Iran is Shi’ite and other Arab countries are Sunni. This division could also lead to a war that might just destroy the Middle East .
Although there are clearly many scenarios of war, there’s still the hope of peace. Obama did negotiate the opening of Iran ’s nuclear sites to IAEA inspectors and Iran ’s increasing negotiations with other nations. All these scenarios – war in the Middle East, various aggressors attacking Iran – are speculations about tomorrow.
- Submitted by A. Maheshwari (WHA '13)
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